🏀 SPREAD & TOTAL MODEL

Offensive Rating (ORtg) — Points scored per 100 possessions. Find on NBA.com, Basketball-Reference, or ESPN. Typical NBA range: 105–120.
Defensive Rating (DRtg) — Points allowed per 100 possessions. Lower = better defence. Typical range: 105–118.
Pace — Possessions per 48 minutes. Higher pace = more scoring opportunities. NBA average ≈ 98–102.
Home/Away Record % — Win percentage at home or away. e.g. if Lakers are 25-16 at home enter 61.
League Averages — Use the current season league average pace and ORtg for accurate calibration.

📊 READING THE RESULTS

Projected Scores — Model's estimate of final scores based on efficiency and pace.
Spread — Point difference between teams. Compare with bookmaker spread to find value. 3+ pt difference = potential edge.
Total — Combined projected points. Compare with bookmaker O/U line. 5+ pt difference = strong signal.
Win Probability — Likelihood of each team winning based on efficiency ratings and home record.

📡 LIVE COMEBACK

Enter current score, quarter, and minutes remaining to get live win probabilities.
Comeback Probability — Chance the losing team wins from current position. Use to spot value in live markets.
O/U Projection — Model estimates remaining scoring based on ratings and time left. OVER/UNDER shows direction vs your bookmaker line.

📈 QUARTER MODEL

Enter each team's average points per quarter (from recent games) to identify quarter-by-quarter patterns.
Q3 Dominance — Teams that consistently outscore in Q3 often control game momentum.
First Half Total — Use projected first half total to compare with bookmaker first half O/U lines.

⚠ CIPHER HOOPS uses pace-adjusted efficiency ratings. Results depend on data quality — always use current season stats. Basketball is unpredictable. This is not betting advice. Gamble responsibly.